C.D. Zarza vs C.D. Rubias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
NER
3 - 1
CDZ
20%
22%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDZ
2 - 1
CDH
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CDZ
4 - 0
ARO
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CDC
2 - 1
CDZ
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDZ
3 - 2
CDE
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
C.D. Rubias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDR
47%
24%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDR
4 - 1
NER
35%
24%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CDR
1 - 1
RIO
45%
23%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CDH
0 - 1
CDR
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CDR
3 - 2
UDA
26%
23%
51%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |