C.D. Útica vs Vilches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
MEN
4 - 2
CDU
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CDU
2 - 0
LIN
24%
25%
51%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +3 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 1
CDU
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CDU
2 - 2
CLU
18%
22%
60%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
FSV
5 - 0
CDU
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
VIL
4 - 2
TOR
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LCA
5 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
VIL
4 - 2
PUE
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
JOD
2 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
BAI
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |