C.D. Útica vs CD Villacarrillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CDB
2 - 1
CDU
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CDU
3 - 0
CDV
62%
20%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CDU
7 - 0
CFS
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CDV
0 - 3
CDU
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CDH
1 - 3
CDU
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
CFS
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CDV
1 - 4
VIL
17%
22%
62%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 0
ADM
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CDH
0 - 4
VIL
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
CLO
1 - 3
VIL
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |