C.D. Útica vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LIN
2 - 0
CDU
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CDU
1 - 0
ILI
11%
19%
70%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +3 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
LAG
3 - 1
CDU
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CDU
4 - 1
CLO
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
CDU
0 - 1
BEA
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
BAE
2 - 1
VIL
21%
24%
55%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CDV
2 - 4
BAE
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
BAE
6 - 0
FSV
44%
26%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
BAE
62%
21%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
BAE
0 - 0
CPH
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |