C.D. Útica vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PUE
4 - 1
CDU
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LCA
5 - 1
CDU
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CDU
1 - 7
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2005 |
CPH
1 - 1
CDU
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CDU
3 - 2
MOG
49%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BAE
1 - 0
ATL
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
BAE
0 - 0
MEN
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CLO
0 - 4
BAE
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2005 |
BAE
3 - 1
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CDR
0 - 0
BAE
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |