C.D. Rubias vs CD Cerreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Rubias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 1
CDR
77%
15%
9%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CDR
3 - 2
CDE
17%
20%
64%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDZ
2 - 0
CDR
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
CDR
47%
24%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDR
4 - 1
NER
35%
24%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CDC
2 - 1
CDE
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 2
CDC
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDC
6 - 1
RIO
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CDC
1 - 1
UDA
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
REP
1 - 4
CDC
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |