Quintanar vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
62%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quintanar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAP
2 - 1
QUI
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
4 - 0
ONA
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
QUI
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
CAS
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
TRE
3 - 2
QUI
65%
19%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
6 - 0
CER
82%
12%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
FRI
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
VIL
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
BUR
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 0
VIL
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |