Quintanar vs A. Castellae analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quintanar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ALF
3 - 1
QUI
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CER
0 - 3
QUI
51%
22%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 3
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
7 - 1
QUI
79%
14%
8%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
A. Castellae
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 0
CER
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 2
ALB
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 2
VIL
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
ALB
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALB
2 - 1
FRI
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |