C.D. Mosquito vs Atletico Marchena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Mosquito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
CDM
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDM
3 - 0
FUT
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
CDM
57%
21%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CDM
2 - 2
ALJ
17%
20%
63%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
CDM
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Marchena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VLZ
4 - 1
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
LAR
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
BAD
2 - 1
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
AGU
51%
23%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LAN
0 - 3
ATL
65%
19%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |