C.D. Mosquito vs Aljaraque CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
63.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Mosquito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
CDM
38%
24%
38%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDM
8 - 1
COR
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDM
3 - 4
GIL
26%
23%
51%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VLZ
4 - 1
CDM
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CDM
1 - 2
LAR
55%
22%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aljaraque CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 7
ALJ
12%
18%
70%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
VLZ
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALJ
3 - 0
POZ
72%
17%
12%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 1
ALJ
25%
22%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 2
ALJ
26%
23%
51%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |