Matarrosa vs Toralense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
54.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matarrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 2
ATL
26%
22%
51%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LAC
5 - 0
MAT
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 4
NAR
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
ATL
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
SAN
17%
20%
62%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toralense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 1
DEH
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 5
TOR
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
TOR
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NAR
3 - 2
TOR
58%
21%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FAB
4 - 5
TOR
77%
15%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |