Matarrosa vs S. Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matarrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
4 - 1
MAT
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 2
MAT
67%
18%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DEH
1 - 1
MAT
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
NAR
14%
18%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
PON
7 - 0
MAT
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
S. Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
7 - 2
LAC
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARE
1 - 0
ATL
28%
23%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
FUT
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
ATL
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 0
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |