Matarrosa vs S. Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matarrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 1
MAT
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 2
VIR
33%
23%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
MAT
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NAR
0 - 3
MAT
58%
21%
21%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
FUT
27%
23%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
S. Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 2
NAR
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FUT
0 - 2
ATL
27%
23%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 1
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ARE
2 - 2
ATL
22%
22%
57%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
ATL
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |