CD Ilumberri vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ilumberri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CDO
0 - 0
CDI
24%
24%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CDI
1 - 1
BID
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 1
CDI
43%
25%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CDI
2 - 0
PEN
35%
24%
42%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ZIR
2 - 2
CDI
41%
25%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ALU
0 - 2
CDB
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
JUA
3 - 0
ALU
17%
21%
63%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALU
2 - 1
CDA
37%
23%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 2
ALU
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ALU
2 - 2
ABL
37%
23%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |