CD Demo vs Villafranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
40.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Demo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDT
3 - 1
CDD
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 4
ROC
27%
25%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
EST
0 - 0
CDD
61%
21%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 3
CDP
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LCF
0 - 1
CDD
54%
23%
23%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
CAM
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
4 - 0
VIL
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAM
60%
20%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
VIL
32%
25%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
5 - 2
UDB
37%
23%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |