CD Demo vs UD Bellavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
69.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Demo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 1
MAI
40%
24%
36%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SOL
3 - 1
CDD
60%
21%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 3
VIL
36%
24%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDT
3 - 1
CDD
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 4
ROC
27%
25%
49%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Bellavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
UDB
2 - 1
MOR
32%
24%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
UDB
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 0
UDB
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDB
2 - 1
COR
66%
19%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 4
UDB
33%
24%
44%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |