CD Demo vs Pablo VI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Demo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SRB
0 - 3
CDD
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CDD
3 - 0
ELT
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AND
0 - 1
CDD
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CDD
5 - 0
BAD
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ANT
0 - 2
CDD
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pablo VI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
PAB
2 - 1
MON
68%
18%
15%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ARH
2 - 0
PAB
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
PAB
1 - 2
MON
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CLA
4 - 3
PAB
36%
22%
42%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
PAB
2 - 1
CAZ
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |