CD Demo vs Calavera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Demo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 3
CDD
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CDD
2 - 0
PAB
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SRB
0 - 3
CDD
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CDD
3 - 0
ELT
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AND
0 - 1
CDD
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Calavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 0
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
ARH
2 - 0
CAL
46%
24%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 3
CAL
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
4 - 0
NER
70%
18%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |