CD Cerreño vs UD Aracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CDF
2 - 4
CDC
23%
23%
54%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CDC
4 - 0
LOS
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
THA
1 - 2
CDC
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 5
CDC
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 1
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Aracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
UDA
2 - 2
TRI
54%
23%
23%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
BOL
4 - 3
UDA
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UDA
1 - 0
MOG
57%
23%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
UDA
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
UDA
0 - 2
ROS
15%
21%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |