CD Cerreño vs Moguer CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
COR
0 - 3
CDC
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
REP
0 - 1
CDC
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
ARO
1 - 1
CDC
52%
23%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
0 - 3
ROS
64%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ALM
2 - 2
CDC
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MOG
3 - 2
REP
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
MOG
2 - 2
ROS
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ALM
2 - 3
MOG
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MOG
2 - 2
OVA
63%
20%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
1 - 1
MOG
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |