CD Cerreño vs C.D. Zarza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NER
4 - 3
CDC
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDC
2 - 1
CDH
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CDC
4 - 0
ARO
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDC
4 - 1
CDR
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CDE
1 - 0
CDC
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDZ
3 - 2
CDE
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
CDZ
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CDZ
3 - 2
RIO
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UDA
1 - 0
CDZ
27%
23%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDZ
1 - 1
REP
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |