CD Cerreño vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cerreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CDC
4 - 1
CDR
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CDE
1 - 0
CDC
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CDC
1 - 1
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
CDC
27%
24%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 5
CDE
15%
19%
67%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
ARO
74%
17%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 3
RIO
47%
23%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UDA
5 - 1
ARO
35%
24%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CDV
3 - 0
ARO
34%
24%
42%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |