C.D. Arahelense vs UD Morón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CDA
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CDA
4 - 0
LAN
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FUE
1 - 1
CDA
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CDA
4 - 1
CAN
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CDA
0 - 1
UTR
67%
18%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 0
AGU
50%
22%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ELR
3 - 1
MOR
68%
18%
14%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LUI
0 - 0
MOR
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
LAR
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
MOR
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |