C.D. Arahelense vs Montellano CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CIR
3 - 4
CDA
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CDA
5 - 0
ANA
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 0
CDA
48%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CDA
3 - 2
LAJ
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
CDA
41%
22%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montellano CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
HER
23%
22%
55%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CDD
2 - 0
MON
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
ANT
44%
23%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ELR
2 - 0
MON
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
ATL
41%
22%
38%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |