C.D. Arahelense vs Montellano CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LAJ
3 - 1
CDA
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CDA
2 - 1
MOR
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
COR
0 - 3
CDA
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CDA
7 - 2
EST
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
CDA
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montellano CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MON
4 - 0
AGU
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 3
MON
20%
22%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 3
MON
9%
17%
75%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
LAJ
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |