C.D. Arahelense vs La Barrera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 0
CDA
24%
22%
53%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CDA
1 - 0
MOR
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CDA
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CDA
4 - 0
LAN
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FUE
1 - 1
CDA
18%
21%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
La Barrera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 0
AGU
34%
24%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ELR
3 - 0
BAR
71%
17%
13%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LUI
1 - 1
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 4
LAR
21%
22%
57%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EST
4 - 0
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |