C.D. Arahelense vs El Rubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Arahelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
CDA
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 0
COR
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
CDA
62%
19%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 1
AND
48%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SUE
0 - 1
CDA
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
El Rubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ELR
1 - 2
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CDD
0 - 0
ELR
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ELR
3 - 5
ANT
57%
20%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ELR
1 - 0
SAN
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
ELR
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |