CD Alipendi vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-95%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Alipendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ZUI
0 - 3
CDA
67%
19%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 3
ZAR
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 2
CDA
58%
21%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CDA
2 - 2
CDS
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CDA
0 - 1
LAU
12%
20%
68%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 0
LAU
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
IRU
0 - 1
ARI
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 1
ELG
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ARI
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 0
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |