Alcalá CF vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PAL
7 - 0
ALC
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 4
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MAN
7 - 0
ALC
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ALC
5 - 0
NER
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CDU
6 - 1
ALC
51%
24%
26%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 3
ALH
43%
26%
31%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BAE
2 - 1
RJA
47%
27%
26%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 1
PUE
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
RJA
44%
27%
29%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 2
EST
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |