Alcalá CF vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 0
ALC
30%
25%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
4 - 1
CDT
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 1
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 2
MIJ
32%
25%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
NER
0 - 3
ALC
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
RON
3 - 0
RJA
67%
20%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
JOD
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
BAE
2 - 1
RJA
39%
27%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |