Alcalá CF vs Barrio NSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RJA
8 - 1
ALC
69%
18%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ALC
0 - 6
PAL
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
4 - 0
ALC
86%
9%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 5
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NER
4 - 0
ALC
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Barrio NSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BNS
1 - 1
ALH
25%
25%
50%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BAE
8 - 0
BNS
59%
23%
18%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BNS
4 - 1
PUE
55%
22%
22%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
BNS
63%
22%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
BNS
1 - 0
JUV
20%
23%
57%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |