Alcalá CF vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NER
4 - 0
ALC
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 3
BEN
19%
23%
58%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALC
74%
17%
10%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 2
BAE
21%
23%
56%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
PUE
3 - 0
ALC
47%
23%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
ALH
64%
22%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 0
BAE
64%
22%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 3
MAN
22%
26%
53%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 3
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |