Alcalá CF vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MIJ
4 - 1
ALC
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MAN
5 - 1
MAR
24%
28%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
RON
0 - 0
MAN
71%
19%
11%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAM
45%
28%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MEN
3 - 1
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
CDT
52%
25%
23%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |