BYU Cougars vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BYU Cougars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 2
TUC
16%
20%
64%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
BOU
4 - 1
BYU
54%
24%
21%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
COR
3 - 1
BYU
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 1
COR
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
3 - 3
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 2
TUC
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
2 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 2
TUC
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
TUC
3 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
TUC
1 - 0
SDZ
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |