BW Neustadt / Orla vs Heiligenstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BW Neustadt / Orla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 1
BWN
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BWN
6 - 0
SON
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FSV
4 - 2
BWN
39%
22%
40%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BWN
1 - 4
FCA
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SGE
1 - 3
BWN
67%
17%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Heiligenstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
SON
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 1
SCH
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 5
SCH
28%
25%
47%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FUM
2 - 2
SCH
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 3
SCH
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |