BVCB vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BVCB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 2
BVC
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BVC
2 - 1
HEI
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NIE
3 - 3
BVC
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BVC
2 - 1
PAP
31%
23%
47%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NIE
3 - 0
BVC
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SHO
0 - 1
NIE
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NIE
1 - 1
PAP
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
SCN
4 - 3
NIE
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NIE
3 - 3
BVC
45%
23%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NIE
2 - 1
BRI
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |