Buxton vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 2
BUX
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BUX
2 - 0
GRE
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SHE
1 - 4
BUX
22%
24%
55%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BUX
0 - 2
BEL
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ROU
1 - 3
BUX
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
SHE
2 - 2
BAM
38%
27%
35%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BAM
3 - 0
SHE
55%
23%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
SHE
2 - 2
OSS
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SHE
1 - 4
BUX
22%
24%
55%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SHE
2 - 1
EAS
19%
24%
57%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +3 |