Buxton vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SHE
1 - 4
BUX
22%
24%
55%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BUX
0 - 2
BEL
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ROU
1 - 3
BUX
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
BUX
4 - 0
CHO
76%
16%
9%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
SKE
0 - 1
BUX
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 0
ALS
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
WAK
1 - 0
GRE
27%
27%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CHO
3 - 1
GRE
25%
26%
48%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 5
EAS
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 0
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |