Butha-Buthe Warriors vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Butha-Buthe Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LIO
5 - 0
BUT
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BUT
2 - 2
LFC
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -8 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
RFC
1 - 3
BUT
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BUT
1 - 3
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SKY
3 - 0
BUT
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LDF
0 - 1
LIN
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LIK
0 - 0
LDF
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +7 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
LDF
1 - 0
SKY
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 0
LDF
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
LDF
2 - 0
LCS
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |