Busto 81 vs Roncalli analysis


30	ELO	36
-2.7%	Tilt	0.5%
26413º	General ELO ranking	26420º
725º	Country ELO ranking	732º
ELO win probability

41.2%

Busto 81

23.5%

Draw

35.3%

Roncalli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

41.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%

23.5%

Draw

0-0

4.2%

1-1

10.5%

2-2

6.6%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

23.5%

35.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%