Bustese Milano City FC vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustese Milano City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 2
BUS
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 1
VBE
53%
21%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
BUS
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 0
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 2
BUS
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 0
VAR
30%
23%
47%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLG
0 - 1
FOL
63%
23%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
PSM
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
FOL
83%
13%
5%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
PIA
13%
21%
66%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -1 |