Bustelo vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACV
2 - 0
BUS
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BUS
0 - 1
ALB
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
BUS
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BUS
2 - 0
OLI
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
BUS
14%
20%
67%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AVA
4 - 0
PEN
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 1
ACV
15%
24%
61%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PEN
0 - 1
SAN
15%
22%
63%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 1
PEN
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAM
61%
20%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |