Bustelo vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BUS
2 - 1
EST
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 0
BUS
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BUS
0 - 0
CIN
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 0
BUS
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BUS
1 - 1
CES
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
ESP
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
EST
1 - 1
LUS
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
3 - 2
ANA
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 0
LUS
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |