Busan I Park vs Gyeongju Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
ANG
0 - 1
BUS
34%
30%
36%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
BUS
1 - 2
BUC
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
GWA
1 - 1
BUS
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
BUS
3 - 3
DCI
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SEO
0 - 1
BUS
40%
30%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gyeongju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GYE
1 - 2
CHU
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
GYE
2 - 0
CCC
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
PCF
2 - 1
GYE
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GYE
2 - 3
POC
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
YAN
0 - 1
GYE
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |