Busan I Park vs Chungbuk Cheongju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
6º
1º
51
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CDR
3 - 0
BUS
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUS
2 - 1
BUC
52%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 2
BUS
26%
27%
48%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BUS
0 - 0
CHE
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GYE
0 - 1
BUS
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chungbuk Cheongju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
KOR
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDR
3 - 0
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
GYE
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
3 - 2
CHE
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
BUC
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |