Busan I Park vs Cheonan City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
6º
1º
25
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GYE
0 - 1
BUS
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
BUS
2 - 0
ANG
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BUS
3 - 0
SEO
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 1
BUS
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
BUS
2 - 0
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cheonan City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 3
SAN
11%
21%
68%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDR
1 - 3
CHE
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 0
BUC
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ELA
0 - 3
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
ANG
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |