Busan I Park II vs Geoje Citizen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
86.5%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13.4%
0-5
6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.6%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Busan I Park II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PYE
2 - 2
BIP
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BIP
0 - 1
CHC
5%
12%
84%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Geoje Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GCF
2 - 0
GAN
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GCF
2 - 0
YAN
25%
22%
53%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
YES
2 - 1
GCF
23%
23%
53%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GCF
2 - 2
DFC
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CHC
1 - 2
GCF
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |