Bury vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
EXE
0 - 1
BCF
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 3
BCF
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BCF
1 - 1
CRA
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BCF
3 - 3
LIN
44%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
BCF
5 - 2
OXF
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 1
CRE
53%
23%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
OLD
4 - 1
YEO
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 3
OLD
33%
27%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 2
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
MKD
2 - 1
OLD
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |