Bury vs Charnock Richard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
2.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
IRL
0 - 2
BCF
7%
15%
78%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
BCF
9%
17%
75%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 6
BCF
8%
17%
74%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
SQU
0 - 1
BCF
7%
16%
77%
|
56 | 27 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
BCF
2 - 0
BAR
91%
7%
2%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Charnock Richard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 5
LIT
79%
13%
9%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
LBR
43%
22%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BUR
3 - 2
CHA
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WES
2 - 2
CHA
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 2
CHA
42%
22%
37%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |