CAF U20 Preliminary stages Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Burundi U20 vs South Sudan U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BDI
1 - 0
ETH
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ETH
0 - 2
BDI
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NGA
2 - 1
BDI
84%
12%
4%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BDI
0 - 1
NGA
10%
19%
72%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
BDI
0 - 2
JPN
29%
27%
44%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 3
UGA
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
UGA
5 - 1
SDN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 3
RSA
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SDN
1 - 4
CMR
19%
23%
59%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
SEN
1 - 1
SDN
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |